hopeia
making the markets
sporting & racing analysis
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| Pakenham Markets |
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| 09/01/2026 | Pakenham | 1 | 2500m | 3yo & Up BM 70 | e -2.5 | a -6.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | KARBURAN | 6 | JACKSON RADLEY | 1 | 59.5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 6.4 | 2 | 3.7 | 999 | 4.4 | 1 | 4.4 | |||
| 02 | URBAN OUTLOOK | 2 | BEN MELHAM | 1 | 59.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 4.4 | 1 | 23 | 4.6 | 2 | 0.50 | ||
| 03 | MADAME LEXIS | 4 | TEODORE NUGENT | 7 | 55.5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9.2 | 5 | 9.4 | 999 | 12 | 3 | 0.70 | |||
| 04 | THE VOCALIST | 7 | JYE MCNEIL | 1 | 56.5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7.6 | 4 | 7.4 | 2.5 | - | 8 | 4 | 1.00 | -2.5 | |
| 05 | HANAFUBUKI | 3 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 59.0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2.62 | 1 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 2.58 | 2.2 | 5 | 1.20 | ||
| 06 | MASH AND GRAVY | 1 | MICHAEL DEE | 6 | 55.0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 20 | 26 | 6 | 8.20 | -1 | |
| 07 | DANCING JUICE | 5 | LUKE CARTWRIGHT | 1 | 53.5 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 7.2 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 7 | 14.20 | -3 |
| 09/01/2026 | Pakenham | 2 | 1600m | 3yo & Up Maiden | e 8 | a 8 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | LEVERAGED BUYOUT | 3 | LUKE CURRIE | 1 | 58.0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3.75 | 1 | 3 | 5.5 | - | 2.7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| 02 | ALGORITHMIC | 1 | SHANE FOLEY | 7 | 58.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5.1 | 2 | 2.3 | 4 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.35 | ||
| 03 | PICK A SYMPHONY | 7 | MICHAEL DEE | 5 | 59.5 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 7.6 | 4 | 6 | 2.5 | 8 | 6.5 | 3 | 2.35 | ||
| 04 | ASHINA | 5 | JORDAN CHILDS | 2 | 56.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6.2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - | 10 | 4 | 2.80 | -3 | |
| 05 | KADDARI | 6 | JAMIE MOTT | 2 | 57.5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8.4 | 5 | 23 | 999 | 19 | 5 | 4.05 | |||
| 06 | STORMY ROMANCE | 2 | BEAU MERTENS | 2 | 58.0 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 8.4 | 5 | 8 | 2.5 | 9.4 | 8.5 | 6 | 4.55 | ||
| 07 | TROJAN'S PRINCESS | 8 | SALLY WYNNE | 8 | 57.5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 70 | 7 | 50 | 999 | 151 | 7 | 10.55 | |||
| 08 | DE LORD | 4 | JASON MASKIELL | 6 | 59.5 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - | 8 | 150 | 999 | 151 | 8 | 14.55 | |||
| 09 | SET FOR SUCCESS | 9 | JADE DAROSE | 8 | 59.5 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - | 8 | 120 | 999 | 201 | 9 | 26.55 |
| 09/01/2026 | Pakenham | 3 | 1000m | 2yo Maiden |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | BRAZEN DECHAMBEAU | 8 | BEAU MERTENS | 2 | 58.0 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 2.98 | 1 | 3.3 | 999 | 5.5 | 1 | 5.5 | |||
| 02 | OUR BRAVE BOY | 5 | LACHLAN NEINDORF | 2 | 58.0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4.7 | 2 | 3.2 | 999 | 3.6 | 2 | 0.05 | |||
| 03 | GIN TWIST | 6 | MICHAEL DEE | 9 | 56.0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 999 | 3.8 | 3 | 0.15 | |||
| 04 | BLUE JEANS TALK | 1 | LUKE CARTWRIGHT | 2 | 54.5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 55 | 8 | 46 | 999 | 101 | 4 | 2.65 | |||
| 05 | AROUND THE MARX | 7 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 2 | 58.0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 85 | 9 | 40 | 999 | 14 | 5 | 4.90 | |||
| 06 | GOOD FEEL | 3 | JYE MCNEIL | 2 | 58.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10.5 | 4 | 6 | 999 | 8 | 6 | 5.10 | |||
| 07 | TAKASAGO | 4 | LUKE CURRIE | 1 | 56.0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 999 | 21 | 7 | 6.60 | |||
| 08 | EGYPTIAN DANCER | 9 | LOGAN BATES | 2 | 56.0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11.5 | 6 | 8 | 999 | 8.5 | 8 | 7.85 | |||
| 09 | EXPLOIT | 2 | BEN MELHAM | 2 | 58.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 999 | 8.5 | 9 | 8.35 |
| 09/01/2026 | Pakenham | 4 | 1200m | Class 1 | e -7 | a 21.3 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | VICTORY TUNE | 4 | JAMIE MOTT | 1 | 57.0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8.4 | 5 | 7 | 2.5 | 9.4 | 12 | 1 | 14.5 | 33.8 | |
| 02 | OFF THEIR PERCH | 6 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 1 | 56.5 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5.7 | 2 | 5 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 7.5 | 2 | 0.35 | -3.5 | |
| 03 | CHOCOLATE BOX | 7 | LACHLAN NEINDORF | 1 | 58.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4.5 | 1 | 4.4 | 4.5 | - | 2.8 | 3 | 1.85 | -4.5 | |
| 04 | BAMA SLAMA | 1 | MICHAEL DEE | 5 | 57.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9.4 | 6 | 9.4 | 2 | 10.5 | 16 | 4 | 3.60 | -2 | |
| 05 | FIRERATED | 3 | KOBY JENNINGS | 6 | 58.0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6.4 | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 5 | 3.65 | ||
| 06 | PLAYLIST | 5 | JORDAN CHILDS | 1 | 57.5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 2.5 | - | 7.5 | 6 | 3.85 | -2.5 | |
| 07 | STORMBOURG | 2 | SHERIDAN CLARKE | 6 | 57.5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 9.6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 8.5 | 7 | 3.90 |
| 09/01/2026 | Pakenham | 5 | 1200m | 3yo Maiden |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | CYBER LINK | 6 | BEAU MERTENS | 2 | 58.0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7.6 | 4 | 3.2 | 999 | 3.3 | 1 | 3.3 | |||
| 02 | THE BENCHMARK | 9 | LACHLAN NEINDORF | 2 | 58.0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 12 | 999 | 21 | 2 | 0.75 | |||
| 03 | ROUGH ENUFF | 12 | LOGAN BATES | 2 | 58.0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 80 | 12 | 34 | 999 | 20 | 3 | 1.05 | |||
| 04 | SALUDAR | 1 | JORDAN CHILDS | 2 | 58.0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 5.5 | 999 | 5 | 4 | 2.05 | |||
| 05 | MAYNARD | 4 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 11 | 58.0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 80 | 999 | 31 | 5 | 2.50 | |||
| 06 | LA DIVINA | 10 | MICHAEL DEE | 10 | 56.0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 50 | 11 | 21 | 999 | 5.5 | 6 | 2.70 | |||
| 07 | HEAVY IS THE HEAD | 7 | LUKE CURRIE | 1 | 56.0 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 9.8 | 5 | 11 | 999 | 16 | 7 | 2.95 | |||
| 08 | THE FLYING POPOV | 11 | JYE MCNEIL | 2 | 58.0 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 7.4 | 3 | 9 | 999 | 21 | 8 | 3.70 | |||
| 09 | HALLOWED HALLS | 5 | BEN MELHAM | 2 | 58.0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 8.4 | 999 | 16 | 9 | 4.70 | |||
| 10 | FOXTROT CHARLIE | 8 | DYLAN DUNN | 12 | 58.0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6.6 | 2 | 12 | 999 | 16 | 10 | 5.20 | |||
| 11 | THE REAL MAN | 2 | JAMIE MOTT | 2 | 58.0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7.4 | 999 | 7.5 | 11 | 6.20 | |||
| 12 | OUR RICH POP | 3 | LUKE CARTWRIGHT | 2 | 56.5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 10 | 19 | 999 | 20 | 12 | 6.45 |
| 09/01/2026 | Pakenham | 6 | 1400m | 3yo Maiden | e -9 | a -12 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SKY WATCHER | 5 | JASON MASKIELL | 11 | 57.0 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 19.5 | 7 | 26 | 999 | 31 | 1 | 31 | |||
| 02 | BLANKFIELD | 2 | JYE MCNEIL | 2 | 58.0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 7.2 | 2 | 3.9 | 3 | 7 | 4.8 | 2 | 0.75 | ||
| 03 | RAZANNE | 11 | BEAU MERTENS | 2 | 56.0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 2.28 | 1 | 2.2 | 9 | - | 1.7 | 3 | 2.50 | -9 | |
| 04 | VALLO | 1 | NADIA DANIELS | 10 | 55.0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 60 | 11 | 34 | 999 | 71 | 4 | 3.00 | |||
| 05 | COMMANDEUR | 4 | BEN MELHAM | 2 | 58.0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 15.5 | 5 | 18 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 21 | 5 | 3.40 | -1.5 | |
| 06 | I BELONG | 9 | LUKE CURRIE | 1 | 56.0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11.5 | 3 | 6.4 | 999 | 9.5 | 6 | 5.90 | |||
| 07 | CAROLINA ROSE | 7 | JORDAN CHILDS | 2 | 56.0 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 50 | 10 | 26 | 999 | 31 | 7 | 6.05 | |||
| 08 | SUNSHINE STAR | 8 | MICHAEL DEE | 9 | 56.0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12.5 | 4 | 9.4 | 999 | 12 | 8 | 6.45 | |||
| 09 | COLD LOGIC | 6 | TEODORE NUGENT | 2 | 58.0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15.5 | 5 | 23 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 31 | 9 | 7.20 | -1.5 | |
| 10 | SHREWDNESS | 3 | LACHLAN NEINDORF | 2 | 58.0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 9 | 34 | 999 | 41 | 10 | 8.95 | |||
| 11 | MISS WAIKATO | 10 | LUKE CARTWRIGHT | 2 | 54.5 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 8 | 17 | 0.5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 18.95 |
| 09/01/2026 | Pakenham | 7 | 1400m | Fillies & Mares BM 65 | e -5.5 | a -6 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | BLISTERING | 2 | KOBY JENNINGS | 6 | 59.5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 9.8 | 6.5 | 1 | 6.5 | ||
| 02 | DIVINE JUSTICE | 6 | BEN MELHAM | 2 | 59.0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2.16 | 1 | 2 | 9.5 | 2.38 | 1.4 | 2 | 2.00 | ||
| 03 | SNAPPY PIERRO | 4 | JASON MASKIELL | 6 | 58.5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 11.5 | 5 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 11 | 7.5 | 3 | 2.20 | ||
| 04 | MISS KASEI | 1 | EMILY POZMAN | 4 | 56.0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6.8 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - | 31 | 4 | 2.30 | -3 | |
| 05 | SAVANNAH CHILL | 7 | JACKSON RADLEY | 2 | 57.5 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17.5 | 12 | 5 | 3.05 | ||
| 06 | NIGHT ERUPTION | 3 | TEODORE NUGENT | 5 | 55.0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 7 | 34 | 0.5 | 48 | 61 | 6 | 3.80 | -0.5 | |
| 07 | MISLEAD | 5 | LUKE CURRIE | 1 | 59.5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7.6 | 3 | 7.4 | 2.5 | - | 14 | 7 | 6.80 | -2.5 |
| 09/01/2026 | Pakenham | 8 | 1600m | 3yo & Up BM 65 | e 10.5 | a 10.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | TAKA SPEED | 7 | RYAN HOUSTON | 7 | 60.5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3.85 | 2 | 3.6 | 5 | - | 4.4 | 1 | 4.7 | 18.5 | |
| 02 | FLAG FLYER | 4 | JORDAN CHILDS | 2 | 58.5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 999 | 13 | 2 | 0.75 | |||
| 03 | SUBTLE POWER | 2 | LUKE CURRIE | 1 | 57.5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3.7 | 1 | 6 | 5.5 | - | 8.5 | 3 | 0.95 | -5.5 | |
| 04 | ANGIEMARIE | 1 | LACHLAN NEINDORF | 2 | 56.5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 12.5 | 6 | 4 | 1.70 | ||
| 05 | SUPER MIRAGE | 8 | JAMIE MOTT | 2 | 60.5 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 7.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 5 | 3.70 | ||
| 06 | FAUCI | 5 | BEAU MERTENS | 2 | 59.5 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 7.4 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | - | 10 | 6 | 4.70 | -2.5 | |
| 07 | SURPERB FROST | 6 | LUKE CARTWRIGHT | 2 | 57.0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 5.10 | ||
| 08 | OUR UPTOWN GIRL | 3 | KOBY JENNINGS | 8 | 58.5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 8 | 16 | 0.5 | 44 | 16 | 8 | 15.10 |
| Legend: br=barrier, jr=jockey rank, wt=weight, pa=early speed rank, cl=closing speed rank, ru=run in transit rank, div=our assessed dividend, rk=our rank, ep=morning book price, sp=starting price, fp=finishing position, mgn=beaten margin, bwd=best/taken price if winner, prf=profit |